Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.265887 10.809913 12.497503 14.474403 16.721959 19.192857 22.109906
2026-01-18 6.683493 8.776062 11.302156 14.553791 18.603551 23.454485 29.675281
2026-01-25 5.001813 7.234453 10.154391 14.202835 19.612043 26.524520 35.948897
2026-02-01 3.895425 6.125458 9.248570 13.857158 20.381825 29.168654 41.748975
2026-02-08 3.045321 5.171385 8.340145 13.284414 20.650903 31.034135 46.537806
2026-02-15 2.441989 4.453734 7.628678 12.839458 20.965337 32.889202 51.358550
2026-02-22 2.140248 4.153575 7.491655 13.211002 22.478673 36.540953 58.991483
2026-03-01 1.898818 3.906540 7.391848 13.604856 24.030663 40.335850 67.082533
2026-03-08 1.572634 3.443383 6.852649 13.187343 24.209183 41.989751 71.973269
2026-03-15 1.323353 3.076666 6.423627 12.890730 24.530053 43.854265 77.279027
2026-03-22 1.230296 3.004765 6.522598 13.537927 26.510190 48.544500 87.428258
2026-03-29 1.125827 2.888944 6.518368 13.985460 28.163976 52.788032 97.093059
2026-04-05 0.979087 2.666055 6.297997 14.050321 29.234178 56.293609 106.084041
2026-04-12 0.847036 2.452467 6.071373 14.089520 30.291229 59.917366 115.655305
2026-04-19 0.706327 2.184124 5.681812 13.741107 30.562811 62.151127 122.951267
2026-04-26 0.590274 1.949111 5.323996 13.403948 30.806792 64.331647 130.279623
2026-05-03 0.481479 1.703819 4.896225 12.847519 30.532157 65.494309 135.797086
2026-05-10 0.397741 1.506578 4.547619 12.415462 30.458294 67.013796 142.054647
2026-05-17 0.361866 1.446628 4.538021 12.776177 32.119551 72.053379 155.330934
2026-05-24 0.330763 1.393812 4.538065 13.158599 33.861068 77.369891 169.463979
2026-05-31 0.275639 1.242319 4.239119 12.753203 33.781120 78.959303 176.355631
2026-06-07 0.232812 1.120500 4.000236 12.465226 33.935307 81.032709 184.327690
2026-06-14 0.221109 1.113901 4.102273 13.093608 36.314379 87.972995 202.590800